Best prediction markets in Europe (2026)
The EU has no federal prediction-market regulator — licensing is national. Polymarket and Kalshi geo-block most EU member states. The MiCA regulation, in force from 2024, adds federal crypto-asset oversight that further complicates Polymarket access.
Manifold Markets is the most reliable pan-EU option — its play-money structure puts it outside both gambling and MiCA regimes.
For real-money markets, EU residents are largely limited to nationally licensed sportsbooks (Tipico in Germany, Betclic in France, etc.), which offer fixed-odds event betting rather than peer-to-peer exchanges.
Frequently asked questions
Will Polymarket come to the EU?
Polymarket would need to register as a MiCA-compliant crypto-asset service provider and obtain gambling licenses in each member state. As of 2026, no such filing has been announced.