Discover what prediction markets reveal about politics, AI, crypto and the world ahead.
Live odds, comparisons and Bloomberg-grade analysis from Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold and every regulated event-derivatives venue on Earth.
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Will the Democrats win the 2028 US presidential election?
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 before 2028?
Will the Fed cut rates at the next FOMC meeting?
Will GPT-6 be released in 2026?
Will US Q3 2026 GDP growth exceed 2.5%?
Will the Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
Live prediction markets from Polymarket, Kalshi & Manifold
Prediction markets news & analysis
All analysis →Fed Rate Cut Odds Slip to 64%; Bitcoin Targets $200K While AI Predictions Climb
Prediction markets saw a notable shift today as expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut at the next FOMC meeting decreased, while optimism surrounding Bitcoin's long-term trajectory and advanced AI model releases gained traction. Macro
Fed Rate Cut Odds Slip to 64%; Bitcoin Targets $200K While AI Race Heats Up
Prediction markets saw a mixed bag of movements over the past 24 hours, with declining optimism for a near-term Federal Reserve rate cut, a renewed belief in Bitcoin's long-term potential, and a slight uptick in the AI advancement race. The
Fed Rate Cut Odds Slip to 64%; AI Model Forecasts Rise Amid GPT-6 Hype
Prediction markets saw a notable shift in sentiment today, with traders paring back expectations for a near-term Federal Reserve rate cut. Meanwhile, the AI sector continues to draw significant market attention, reflecting growing optimism
Fed Rate Cut Odds Slip to 64%; Bitcoin Pushes to 38% for $200K by 2028
Prediction markets saw a notable shift today, with the probability of a Federal Reserve rate cut at the next FOMC meeting declining to 64%, a 3.1 percentage point drop. Concurrently, bullish sentiment for Bitcoin gained traction, pushing it
Fed Rate Cut Odds Slip to 64%; AI Model Race & BTC $200K Futures See Jumps
Prediction markets saw a mixed bag of movements over the past 24 hours, with critical shifts in monetary policy expectations, AI development timelines, and cryptocurrency price targets. The most significant move involved Polymarket’s ‘Will
Top Moves on Polymarket & Kalshi — 2026-07-19
{ "title": "Fed Rate Cut Odds Slip to 64%; AI Model Race Heats Up as BTC Targets $200K", "body": "Prediction markets saw a notable shift in sentiment over the last 24 hours, with the probability of a Federal Reserve rate cut at the next FOM
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