Live prediction markets
8 live markets across Polymarket, Kalshi and Manifold. Sorted by 24-hour volume.
Market
Prob
24h
Volume
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US presidential election?
Politics · Polymarket
47%
+0.9%
$10M
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 before 2028?
Crypto · Polymarket
38%
+2.4%
$5M
Will the Fed cut rates at the next FOMC meeting?
Economy · Kalshi
64%
-3.1%
$2M
Will GPT-6 be released in 2026?
AI · Polymarket
27%
+5.8%
$2M
Will US Q3 2026 GDP growth exceed 2.5%?
Economy · Kalshi
41%
+1.8%
$780,000
Will the Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
Sports · Polymarket
12%
-0.6%
$540,000
Will Ethereum flip Bitcoin by market cap in 2026?
Crypto · Manifold
8%
-1.2%
$320,000
Will an AI model score 90%+ on the ARC-AGI benchmark in 2026?
AI · Manifold
33%
+4.5%
$210,000